Birmingham City’s Supercomputer-Calculated Survival Chances

Opta’s most recent data suggests that Birmingham City are more likely to face relegation to League One by the end of the season than to remain in the Championship.

The team broke a dismal ten-game winless streak two weeks ago with an impressive 3-0 triumph against Coventry City. This victory provided the West Midlands club with a significant chance to build momentum for the remaining weeks of the season. Their next match is against Rotherham United, who have already been relegated.

The Millers received a lift with Steve Evans’ return to the sidelines after Leam Richardson’s sudden departure on Monday. In his first match back at the New York Stadium, Evans’ team put in a determined effort to secure a goalless draw, which he described as a “hard-working performance.”

Rotherham achieved a commendable outcome despite their already confirmed relegation, while Birmingham City suffered a significant setback by slipping into the relegation zone following Sheffield Wednesday’s impressive 3-1 win at Ewood Park on Sunday.

Now, Gary Rowett’s team faces the daunting task of securing at least four points from their upcoming two matches – an away fixture against Huddersfield Town and a home game against Norwich City on the final day – in order to stave off relegation. However, this task is increasingly appearing unlikely.

According to Opta’s latest projections, Birmingham’s chances of relegation currently stand at 53.6%, slightly outweighing the 46.4% probability of them remaining in the Championship. Only Huddersfield and, unsurprisingly, Rotherham have slimmer chances of avoiding relegation when the season concludes.